← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNFLCAREERRSHYDS-DHENRY-16000
Derrick Henry: 16,000+ Rushing Yards
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 47.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 43% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 6.5σ — an unusually large move.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 4866d 10h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Summary
If Derrick Henry records at least 16,000 career regular season rushing yards before Derrick Henry or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
The market resolves to Yes if Derrick Henry records at least 16,000 career regular season rushing yards before he or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NFL. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.