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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNFLENDSTREAK-40NYJ-2728

Which season will the New York J next make the playoffs?

20.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 29.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 12.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 17.0¢ spread.

Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 29.0¢ / 20.5¢
Spread17.0¢ (82.9%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-21.50pt
Longshot tax-42% historically (10-20¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 16 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-3.56
RSI (14, hourly)16.1
Realized vol 7d1.92pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4856d 10h.

Time to resolve4856d 10h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sources
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is -168.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If the New York J Pro Football team's next playoff appearance is in the 2027-28 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

If the New York J Pro Football team ceases to exist, permanently relocates, merges with another franchise, or otherwise are no longer recognized by the Governing League before the 2027-28 Pro Football season, this market resolves to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.