← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNFLENDSTREAK-40NYJ-3031

Which season will the New York J next make the playoffs?

35.5% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 70.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 6.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 69.0¢ spread.

Implied probability6.0%

Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 70.0¢ / 35.5¢

Spread69.0¢ (194.4%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.50pt

Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 135.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-135.23

RSI (14, hourly)60.0

Realized vol 7d0.34pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4856d 10h.

Time to resolve4856d 10h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Rules risklow (15)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sources

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementExpected settlement is -168.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If the New York J Pro Football team's next playoff appearance is in the 2030-31 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

If the New York J Pro Football team ceases to exist, permanently relocates, merges with another franchise, or otherwise are no longer recognized by the Governing League before the 2030-31 Pro Football season, this market resolves to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.