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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNFLRETIRE-DHENRY22-2728

Will Derrick Henry announce his retirement before the 2027-28 NFL season?

50.5% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 99.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 23.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 97.0¢ spread.

Implied probability23.0%
Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 50.5¢
Spread97.0¢ (192.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
Longshot tax-24% historically (20-35¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 201.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-201.95
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.14pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1791d 9h.

Time to resolve1791d 9h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (35)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 35074.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Derrick Henry announces his retirement from the NFL before the 2027-28 NFL season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. For the purposes of this market, the NFL season start date is defined as the date of the first regular season game for that season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.