← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNFLRETIRE-MSTAFFORD9-2829
Will Matthew Stafford announce his retirement before the 2028-29 NFL season?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 82.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 70.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 51 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 20.6σ — an unusually large move.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1791d 9h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 80-90¢ bucket has returned +7% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Summary
If Matthew Stafford announces his retirement from the NFL before the 2028-29 NFL season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. For the purposes of this market, the NFL season start date is defined as the date of the first regular season game for that season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.