← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXPERFORMROLE007-MONEYPENNY-JOD
Will Jodie Turner-Smith perform as Moneypenny in the next James Bond film?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 26.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 46.8σ — an unusually large move.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1155d 1h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
⚠ Single sourceSummary
If Jodie Turner-Smith performs/ is announced as Moneypenny in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
For the purposes of this Contract, Jodie Turner-Smith satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Jodie Turner-Smith is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Moneypenny in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Jodie Turner-Smith appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Moneypenny in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film. Additional clarification(s): If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Jodie Turner-Smith was officially announced in Moneypenny, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for Moneypenny (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Jodie Turner-Smith is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Jodie Turner-Smith being announced or performing in Moneypenny, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for Moneypenny.