← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXPERFORMROLE007-MONEYPENNY-NAO
Will Naomie Harris perform as Moneypenny in the next James Bond film?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 12.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 7.6σ — an unusually large move.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1155d 1h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
⚠ Single sourceSummary
If Naomie Harris performs/ is announced as Moneypenny in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
For the purposes of this Contract, Naomie Harris satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Naomie Harris is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Moneypenny in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Naomie Harris appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Moneypenny in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film. Additional clarification(s): If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Naomie Harris was officially announced in Moneypenny, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for Moneypenny (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Naomie Harris is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Naomie Harris being announced or performing in Moneypenny, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for Moneypenny.