← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY-OLI
Will Olivia Holt perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 27.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.7σ — an unusually large move.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1155d 0h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Summary
If Olivia Holt performs/ is announced as Britney Spears in the Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
For the purposes of this Contract, Olivia Holt satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Olivia Holt is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Olivia Holt appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Britney Spears in any official performance, showing, or release of Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu. Additional clarification(s): If Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Olivia Holt was officially announced in Britney Spears, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for Britney Spears (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Olivia Holt is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu is cancelled or completes its run without Olivia Holt being announced or performing in Britney Spears, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for Britney Spears.