← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY-SAB
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 17.0%, flat over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1155d 0h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Summary
If Sabrina Carpenter performs/ is announced as Britney Spears in the Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
For the purposes of this Contract, Sabrina Carpenter satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Sabrina Carpenter is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Sabrina Carpenter appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Britney Spears in any official performance, showing, or release of Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu. Additional clarification(s): If Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Sabrina Carpenter was officially announced in Britney Spears, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for Britney Spears (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Sabrina Carpenter is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu is cancelled or completes its run without Sabrina Carpenter being announced or performing in Britney Spears, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for Britney Spears.