← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXPERSONPRESFUENTES-45
Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 22.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 60 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.1σ — an unusually large move.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6633d 12h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
⚠ Single sourceSummary
If Nick Fuentes becomes President of the United States before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
Not published.