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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXPGAFUTURE-36JKOI-3

How many golf major championships will Jackson Koivun win before 2036?

46.0% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 90.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 2.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 88.0¢ spread.

Implied probability2.0%
Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 90.0¢ / 46.0¢
Spread88.0¢ (191.3%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 49 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.79
RSI (14, hourly)49.5
Realized vol 7d36.34pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3345d 11h.

Time to resolve3345d 11h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (35)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sources
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 10.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Jackson Koivun wins 3+ golf major championships before 2036, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

A golf major refers to one of the four annual major championship tournaments officially designated by the sport’s governing bodies: The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.