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How many golf major championships will Miles Russell win before 2036?

50.5% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 50.5%, flat over 24h, on a 99.0¢ spread.

Implied probability50.5%

Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 100.0¢ / 50.5¢

Spread99.0¢ (196.0%)

Change 24hn/a

Change 7dn/a

Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance100% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.00pt

Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3345d 10h.

Time to resolve3345d 10h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Rules riskmedium (35)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementExpected settlement is 10.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Miles Russell wins 2+ golf major championships before 2036, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

A golf major refers to one of the four annual major championship tournaments officially designated by the sport’s governing bodies: The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.