← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXPOCHETTINOOUT-30-Y
Will Mauricio Pochettino leave as manager of the US Men's National Team before the start date of the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament based on effective date?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 43.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1312d 10h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Summary
If Mauricio Pochettino leaves his role as the Manager of the US Men's National Team before the start date of the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
This market resolves solely based on the effective date of Mauricio Pochettino's departure from Manager of the US Men's National Team. The date on which the departure is announced or a resignation is submitted does not affect resolution. If the effective date falls before the start of the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup, the market resolves Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.