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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-BIOMASS

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

2.5% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 3.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 3.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability3.0%
Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 3.0¢ / 2.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (40.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 55% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,815 / $663
Imbalance55% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 102632595466916.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean102632595466916.16
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1518d 12h.

Time to resolve1518d 12h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is -17520.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Traditional biomass is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

Not published.