← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 61.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability61.0%
Bid / ask / mid61.0¢ / 62.0¢ / 61.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+2.50pt
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$311
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,872 / $2,699
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 44 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.94
RSI (14, hourly)44.4
Realized vol 7d0.57pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1518d 12h.
Time to resolve1518d 12h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sources
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is -17520.0h after scheduled close.
Summary
If Oil is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
Not published.