← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXRAMPBREX-40-BREX
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability2.0%
Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 4.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (111.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$20 / $87
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 399097612979969.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-399097612979969.19
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 4806d 11h.
Time to resolve4806d 11h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (35)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sources
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 10.0h after scheduled close.
Summary
If Brex confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
Not published.