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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXRAMPBREX-40-RAMP

Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?

85.5% implied · bid 82.0¢ · ask 89.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 82.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability82.0%
Bid / ask / mid82.0¢ / 89.0¢ / 85.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (8.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
Longshot tax+7% historically (80-90¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 16/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 34% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$10
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$419 / $842
Imbalance34% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.36
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4806d 11h.

Time to resolve4806d 11h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (35)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 80-90¢ bucket has returned +7% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 10.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Ramp confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

Not published.