← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-EMUS
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 36.0%, flat over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1184d 12h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Summary
If Elon Musk is Time's Person of the Decade for the 2020s, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
If Time doesn't announce a Person of the Decade before Jan 31, 2030, all markets resolve to No. This market and these products have not been endorsed by TIME. Any references to TIME, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between TIME and Kalshi.