← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXTVSEASONRELEASETHELASTOFUS-27-JUL
When will "The Last of Us" Season 3 be released?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 23.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 29% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 56 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1518d 10h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Summary
If it has been announced that "The Last of Us" Season 3 will release before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
Not published.