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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXUSCPIYEAR-36FEB01-T6.0

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2035 be above 6.0%?

4.5% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 9.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 14.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.

Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 4.5¢
Spread9.0¢ (200.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-6.00pt
Longshot tax-42% historically (10-20¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $9
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score5.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 23 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)22.7
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3383d 3h.

Time to resolve3383d 3h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

⚠ Single source
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 169.5h after scheduled close.

Summary

If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2035 is above 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

The initially reported value for December 2035 will be used. This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2035, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.