← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXWC-30-BRA
Will Brazil win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.6%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability5.6%
Bid / ask / mid5.5¢ / 5.6¢ / 5.5¢
Spread0.1¢ (1.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 54/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,851 / $2,130
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score54.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.02
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.02pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1519d 0h.
Time to resolve1519d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade