← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXWCCAREERGOALS-KMBAPPE-30
Will Kylian Mbappe score at least 30 goals in the World Cup in his career?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 79.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 6/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 41% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 40 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6103d 10h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Summary
If Kylian Mbappe scores at least 30 goals in FIFA World Cup Tournament games during his career, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
Own goals scored by Kylian Mbappe do not count for purposes of this market. 3rd place game goals are included in total goals scored.