← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXWCHOST-2038-AUNE
Will Australia or New Zealand be announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 57 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 11.4σ — an unusually large move.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2615d 10h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Summary
If Australia or New Zealand are announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
Once an official host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup is announced by any of the Source Agencies, the markets for any host country/countries will resolve to Yes, and all other markets will resolve to No. If multiple host countries are announced to host the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup, all markets pertaining to any of the named host countries will resolve to Yes. Example: If Australia and Cambodia are announced as hosts, the market titled "Australia or New Zealand" and "Cambodia" will resolve to Yes, while other markets will resolve to No.