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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXWCTEAMS-2030-YES

Will there be 64 teams in the 2030 World Cup Tournament?

74.0% implied · bid 71.0¢ · ask 77.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 72.0%, flat over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability72.0%
Bid / ask / mid71.0¢ / 77.0¢ / 74.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (8.1%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 32% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$710 / $103
Imbalance32% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1154d 11h.

Time to resolve1154d 11h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (35)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 10.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If the 2030 Men's World Cup tournament will have a field of 64 teams for the main tournament and is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

If it is confirmed that the 2030 Men's World Cup will have a field or 32, 48, or any other set of teams different from 64 teams by any of the Source Agencies this market will resolve No.