← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXYTUBESUBSISHOWSPEED-27
When will IShowSpeed reach 100 million Youtube subscribers?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.0%, flat over 24h, on a 90.0¢ spread.
Implied probability2.0%
Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 93.0¢ / 48.0¢
Spread90.0¢ (187.5%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1154d 11h.
Time to resolve1154d 11h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
⚠ Single sourceSettlement sources
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 26314.0h after scheduled close.
Summary
If @IShowSpeed has at least 100,000,000 subscribers before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
Not published.