← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXYTUBESUBSISHOWSPEED-28
When will IShowSpeed reach 100 million Youtube subscribers?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 75.0%, flat over 24h, on a 46.0¢ spread.
Implied probability75.0%
Bid / ask / mid29.0¢ / 75.0¢ / 52.0¢
Spread46.0¢ (88.5%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1154d 11h.
Time to resolve1154d 11h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
⚠ Single sourceSettlement sources
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 17554.0h after scheduled close.
Summary
If @IShowSpeed has at least 100,000,000 subscribers before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
Not published.