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This week: economic releases

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U3MAX

1157d 11h

Closes 1/4/2030, 1:25:00 PM

4 markets tied to this release.

USCPIYEAR

1550d 3h

Closes 2/1/2031, 4:59:00 AM

79 markets tied to this release.

FINDEXACCOUNT

1883d 13h

Closes 12/31/2031, 2:59:00 PM

7 markets tied to this release.

FEDFUNDSYEAR

1884d 3h

Closes 1/1/2032, 4:59:00 AM

126 markets tied to this release.

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

Above 5%50%Above 6%38%Above 9%32%Above 7%26%

179 contracts 24h vol

US headline CPI inflation in December 2030

Above 3.5%95%Above 1.0%88%Above 0.5%86%Above 0.0%83%

156 contracts 24h vol

US headline CPI inflation in December 2036

Above 0.0%98%Above 1.0%98%Above 1.5%98%Above 0.5%89%

14 contracts 24h vol

Fed funds rate at end of 2036

Above 2.00%95%Above 1.50%93%Above 1.00%90%Above 3.00%85%

4 contracts 24h vol

US real GDP growth in 2036?

1.6% to 2.0%20%2.1% to 2.5%12%0.0% or Below7%0.1% to 0.5%5%

0 contracts 24h vol

US nominal GDP growth in 2036

Above 0.0%91%Above 1.5%75%Above 2.5%74%Above 2.0%72%

0 contracts 24h vol

US unemployment rate at year-end 2036

Above 3.0%86%Above 4.0%83%Above 3.5%78%Above 4.5%58%

0 contracts 24h vol

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2036

Above 56.00%93%Above 56.50%91%Above 57.50%89%Above 57.00%88%

0 contracts 24h vol

US real GDP growth in 2035?

2.1% to 2.5%15%0.0% or Below14%3.6% to 4.0%11%1.6% to 2.0%8%

0 contracts 24h vol

US headline CPI inflation in December 2035

Above 0.0%90%Above 1.0%83%Above 1.5%61%Above 2.0%60%

0 contracts 24h vol

US nominal GDP growth in 2035

Above 0.5%94%Above 0.0%91%Above 2.5%88%Above 3.0%82%

0 contracts 24h vol

US unemployment rate at year-end 2035

Above 3.0%98%Above 3.5%96%Above 4.0%82%Above 4.5%56%

0 contracts 24h vol

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2035

Above 56.00%94%Above 56.50%91%Above 57.00%88%Above 57.50%88%

0 contracts 24h vol

Fed funds rate at end of 2035

Above 1.00%88%Above 2.25%83%Above 2.00%63%Above 1.25%62%

0 contracts 24h vol

US real GDP growth in 2034?

0.0% or Below16%1.6% to 2.0%15%0.6% to 1.0%13%2.6% to 3.0%11%

0 contracts 24h vol

US headline CPI inflation in December 2034

Above 0.0%98%Above 3.5%97%Above 0.5%89%Above 1.0%83%

0 contracts 24h vol

US nominal GDP growth in 2034

Above 0.5%96%Above 0.0%91%Above 1.0%88%Above 3.0%83%

0 contracts 24h vol

US unemployment rate at year-end 2034

Above 3.0%98%Above 3.5%96%Above 4.0%82%Above 4.5%55%

0 contracts 24h vol

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2034

Above 56.00%94%Above 58.00%94%Above 56.50%91%Above 57.00%91%

0 contracts 24h vol

Fed funds rate at end of 2034

Above 1.25%88%Above 1.00%79%Above 2.00%67%Above 2.50%64%

0 contracts 24h vol

US real GDP growth in 2033?

1.6% to 2.0%23%2.1% to 2.5%15%1.1% to 1.5%11%0.0% or Below8%

0 contracts 24h vol

US headline CPI inflation in December 2033

Above 0.5%87%Above 0.0%80%Above 1.0%64%Above 1.5%61%

0 contracts 24h vol

US nominal GDP growth in 2033

Above 0.0%96%Above 0.5%96%Above 1.0%96%Above 1.5%95%

0 contracts 24h vol

MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win?

Below 15%80%At least 15%30%

0 contracts 24h vol

US unemployment rate at year-end 2033

Above 3.0%98%Above 3.5%96%Above 4.0%82%Above 4.5%53%

0 contracts 24h vol

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2033

Above 57.00%96%Above 56.00%95%Above 56.50%93%Above 57.50%90%

0 contracts 24h vol

Fed funds rate at end of 2033

Above 1.75%84%Above 1.00%76%Above 1.50%72%Above 1.25%71%

0 contracts 24h vol

US real GDP growth in 2032?

2.1% to 2.5%10%1.1% to 1.5%9%2.6% to 3.0%8%4.6% to 5.0%8%

0 contracts 24h vol

US trade deficit for 2032

Above $500 billion95%Above $600 billion95%Above $700 billion94%Above $800 billion89%

0 contracts 24h vol

US headline CPI inflation in December 2032

Above 0.0%79%Above 0.5%73%Above 1.5%62%Above 1.0%58%

0 contracts 24h vol

US nominal GDP growth in 2032

Above 0.0%96%Above 0.5%96%Above 1.0%96%Above 1.5%95%

0 contracts 24h vol

US unemployment rate at year-end 2032

Above 3.0%98%Above 3.5%96%Above 4.0%81%Above 6.0%58%

0 contracts 24h vol

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2032

Above 56.50%97%Above 57.00%97%Above 56.00%93%Above 58.00%92%

0 contracts 24h vol

Fed funds rate at end of 2032

Above 1.75%91%Above 1.25%80%Above 1.50%71%Above 2.00%70%

0 contracts 24h vol

Who will be the world's second trillionaire?

Jeff Bezos19%Mark Zuckerberg18%Larry Page10%Jensen Huang4%

0 contracts 24h vol

US real GDP growth in 2031?

1.6% to 2.0%12%3.6% to 4.0%11%1.1% to 1.5%10%2.1% to 2.5%9%

0 contracts 24h vol

US trade deficit for 2031

Above $600 billion98%Above $500 billion97%Above $700 billion94%Above $800 billion89%

0 contracts 24h vol

US headline CPI inflation in December 2031

Above 0.0%78%Above 1.0%72%Above 0.5%71%Above 1.5%70%

0 contracts 24h vol

US nominal GDP growth in 2031

Above 0.0%96%Above 0.5%96%Above 1.0%96%Above 1.5%95%

0 contracts 24h vol

US unemployment rate at year-end 2031

Above 3.0%98%Above 3.5%96%Above 4.0%81%Above 4.5%49%

0 contracts 24h vol

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2031

Above 57.00%97%Above 56.50%92%Above 56.00%89%Above 57.50%89%

0 contracts 24h vol

Fed funds rate at end of 2031

Above 1.00%85%Above 1.25%77%Above 2.50%71%Above 1.75%68%

0 contracts 24h vol

Global account ownership in the next Global Findex release

Above 80%91%Above 81%81%Above 82%65%Above 83%41%

0 contracts 24h vol

US real GDP growth in 2030?

2.6% to 3.0%11%1.6% to 2.0%10%0.0% or Below8%2.1% to 2.5%8%

0 contracts 24h vol

US trade deficit for 2030

Above $500 billion95%Above $600 billion95%Above $700 billion94%Above $800 billion88%

0 contracts 24h vol

US nominal GDP growth in 2030

Above 0.0%96%Above 1.0%96%Above 1.5%95%Above 2.0%92%

0 contracts 24h vol

US unemployment rate at year-end 2030

Above 3.0%98%Above 3.5%96%Above 4.0%81%Above 4.5%47%

0 contracts 24h vol

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2030

Above 57.00%95%Above 59.00%93%Above 57.50%92%Above 56.00%91%

0 contracts 24h vol