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Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?

Adam Telle49%Sean Parnell30%Michael Obadal6%Marc Andersen6%

$7K 24h vol

Which G7 leader will leave office next?

Emmanuel Macron65%Friedrich Merz7%Donald Trump6%Andy Burnham5%

$8 24h vol

Which of these African leaders will leave office next?

Bola Tinubu24%William Ruto18%Félix Tshisekedi10%Cyril Ramaphosa9%

$2 24h vol

Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?

Before Jan 1, 203035%Before Jan 1, 202918%Before Jan 1, 20288%Before Jan 1, 20271%

$1 24h vol

Who will be the next DNC Chair?

Martin O’Malley17%Faiz Shakir17%David Hogg14%Rahm Emanuel9%

$0 24h vol

Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?

15%chance · Yes

$0 24h vol

Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?

Before Jan 1, 203175%Before Jan 1, 203012%Before Jan 1, 20295%Before Jan 1, 20283%

$0 24h vol

Will Congressional salaries increase?

Before Jan 1, 203054%Before Jan 1, 202944%Before Jan 1, 202826%Before Jan 1, 202715%

$0 24h vol

Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?

64%chance · Yes

$0 24h vol

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

34%chance · Yes

$0 24h vol

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Before Jan 1, 203040%Before Jan 1, 202927%Before Jan 1, 202818%Before Jan 1, 20276%

$0 24h vol

Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?

79%chance · Yes

$0 24h vol

Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration?

36%chance · Yes

$0 24h vol